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Heydar Gholizadeh

علی بیات کشکولی، مهدی فائزی‌پور، مجید عزیزی و حیدر قلی‌زاده
روند آینده شاخص بهای تولیدکننده چوب و محصولات چوبی در ایران
Price index trend of wood and its products in Iran
Abstract


Price index of wood and its products is represent for theirs marketing situation. Review is showing that price index of wood and its products are increasing in world, these products imports freedom in Iran and subsequently severe price fluctuation and weekender power with internal producers alongside unsure capitalize, these products lower quality, consumers negative mental image with internal products, low-grade products exports and in other wise this products low price in Iran, consumption market neighbor with Iran. Therefore, the basic of questions as fallow: How wood and its products price index and price annual growth rate are trend? Since, the research methodologies are analytic and approximate and also forecasting methods include; trend and regression formulations on the percent forecast error and single payment formulas were used to establish. The research result by low percent forecast error (trend average of products total: 6.7%) is showing that this products price index will increasing in next years (trend average of products total; 2009:328.6% and 2008: 308%) but price annual growth (inflation) rate will lower (trend average of products total; 2007 to 2016:4.75 % and 1997 to 2006:10.31%) and also market situation will better than years ago. Wood and its products freedom is affected on the price control. Thus, weekender power of external competitors against internal products will exist, but if technological situation is results that this products are low-price supplying and also forestation and products quality are consider, present situation will improve and wood and its products will bargain supplying with neighbor countries.

 

 

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